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Saturday, May 12, 2012

U.S. and Japan Agree on Deal To Move Forces


The U.S. and Japan reached agreement Thursday on a long-stalled plan to move troops off the island of Okinawa, a key part of the Obama administration's strategy to intensify its focus on Asia, and disperse American troops around the region.
The new plan would move some 9,000 Marines off Okinawa, stationing about 5,000 of them on Guam and moving the remainder to Australia or Hawaii, U.S. defense officials said. There are now about 18,000 Marines in Okinawa.
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta praised the agreement and said implementing the agreement would improve the "vital alliance" between the U.S. and Japan.
"I look forward to deepening that friendship and strengthening our partnership as, together, we address security challenges in the region," he said.
Officials and analysts in Washington said the deal would help normalize the security relationship between the U.S. and Japan, allowing the countries to discuss more critical strategic issues—including missile defense and the modernization of China's military—rather than how to replace the base on Okinawa, which is unpopular locally.
"I think this is a big deal," said Andrew Hoehn, a senior vice president of the RAND Corp., a research institute with close ties to the military. "This has been a major impediment in the U.S.-Japan relationship for many years. This was getting in the way of moving ahead."
Since 2006, the U.S. and Japan have had a plan to move Marines out of their base at Futenma, and relocate them to another, more rural, part of Okinawa. But the plan has been held up by environmental concerns and local opposition.
By presenting concrete plans for reducing U.S. military presence, Japanese officials hope the new agreement will ease stubborn local opposition. Flip-flopping in Tokyo's base policy since the centrist Democratic Party of Japan took power in 2009 has upset residents and officials on the southern island—the host to three-quarters of all U.S. bases in Japan.
"We wanted to bring forward easing of the burden on Okinawa," Japanese foreign minister Koichiro Gemba told reporters. "We were able to come up with a plan that includes return of the land, one that's forward-looking and concrete."
The disagreement has already cost the tenure of one prime minister and remains one of the biggest policy headaches for Tokyo. Under the new agreement, the U.S. will begin returning many of its existing facilities in densely-populated areas in the central and southern Okinawa.
But some experts doubt new steps would be enough to solve the logjam. The local city and prefectural assemblies are firmly opposed to the new facility. Hirokazu Nakaima, Okinawa's governor whose support is essential for starting construction, has also insisted the plan won't move forward without consent from the residents. Offers of generous economic development assistance— enough to win over the locals in the past—have done little to change their minds. Weak and unstable leadership in Tokyo is also a concern. Japan has had six prime ministers in the past six years.
Under the new agreement, the U.S. can begin to move Marines to Guam even without a replacement facility for Futenma. Japan has also pledged to help pay for portions of the Futenma facility until permission is granted to expand the Marines facilities at Camp Schwab.
Japan will also pay $3.1 billion of the $8.6 billion cost of expanding military facilities in Guam and developing training ranges in the waters off the island and in the Northern Mariana Islands. That is similar to the $2.8 billion Japan had earlier promised to spend.
U.S. defense officials said that they hope Japan will use the training ranges with the U.S., and that the two nations can conduct exercises there. Japan's participation in the training facilities must still be approved by its government.
The Obama administration and military officials are in the process of trying to disperse U.S. forces around the Western Pacific, so that the U.S. can respond quickly to different contingences and crisis. Avoiding concentration of U.S. forces and landing facilities also avoids vulnerability to a handful of knockout strikes.
In part, the new emphasis on Asia is meant to reassure American allies in the face of an aggressive Chinese military buildup and North Korean hostility that the U.S. intends to defend their interests and protect the current international order.
The deal was originally set to be announced on Wednesday, but last minute objections from members of the U.S. Senate held up the deal. Senior members of the Armed Services Committee have raised questions about the cost of moving Marines to Guam.
In a joint statement released Thursday evening in Washington, Sens. Carl Levin (D., Mich), John McCain (R., Ariz.) and Jim Webb (D., Va.) said they appreciated the willingness of the Obama administration to adjust the language in portions of the agreement.
The senators said they have many questions, but said they intended to work with the administration and the government of Japan to achieve a "a mutually beneficial, militarily effective, and fiscally sustainable agreement."
Worried that the logjam would persist, Mr. Webb, working with a Japanese ruling-party lawmaker, had recently proposed a temporary solution to move the functions of the Futenma base to another existing base nearby in Okinawa but it failed to get traction. The plan to build a new base in a scenic hamlet of Henoko has been under discussion since the 1990s, even though the local opposition intensified in the past two years.
"To the extent Japanese government wants to sustain those forces inside Japanese territory, we ought to think about a broader plan to make them sustainable for the next decade or more, rather than spending 16 years arguing over one single base," says Sheila Smith, senior fellow for Japan studies at the Council on Foreign Relations." We need a different basic foundation for revamping U,.S. presence in Japan."