The
Turnaround of Indian Economy Is Here: From Red Tape to Red Carpet
India is back on the commercial
map of the United States
after being ignored for the past few years, according to Sidharth Birla,
president, Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).Birla
is optimistic that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the US will attract major US
companies to invest in India.
A week after Modi’s visit, union finance and defense minister, Arun Jaitley is
also set to tour the US.
“FICCI will be organizing two
standalone events where we will invite top US business houses,” said Birla. He
said the industry body was hopeful that the finance minister would be find time
to address the US
and Indian business leaders. Later, FICCI also plans to organize a meeting of
Indian business leaders in London
with institutional forum, American Investors. Jaitley is likely to address the
meeting. “Business-to-business connect in America always follows a political
comfort. The areas that could see an upturn can be infrastructure,
manufacturing, and defense,” said Birla. Birla described the Prime Minister’s
‘Make in India’
campaign as a window of opportunity that foreign and Indian businesses will not
miss.
Policy Action Pills and
The Prescription of FICCI
At the same time, he called for requisite
policy and implementation measures for enhancing the competitiveness of the
manufacturing sector in the country. India's gross domestic product (GDP) will accelerate to 5.6% during
financial year (FY) 2014-15, said the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce
and Industry's (Ficci) latest Economic Outlook Survey.The survey further
reveals economic activity is expected to continue with this momentum in the
second half of the current fiscal, Ficci said.
"The new government guided by the objective
of restoring growth and governance has given very positive policy signals in
its first 100 days. We see the confidence amongst investors slowly returning
and hope that going ahead, the momentum on implementation front will build up,"
said the survey.
While agricultural growth is expected to remain
steady despite a delay in monsoon, the industrial sector is expected to grow by
4.7% in 2014-15 fiscal. This is 1.6% points more than the growth estimate in
the previous survey round conducted in June 2014, the association of business
organization said.
Retail inflation is expected at 7.8% this
fiscal, in sync with the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) target indicated
earlier this year. The economists who
participated in the survey also felt that the RBI will consider a cut in policy
rates only in the first quarter of the next calendar year. According to them,
the India's
central banking institution will wait and watch until there are definite signs
of inflationary pressure abating. As per
Ficci, the minimum and maximum range for GDP growth in the current fiscal is
indicated at 5.3% and 6%, respectively, as against 5.3% estimated in the
previous round, reflecting optimism.
The Final Diagnosis and Forecasts
The
projection by the economists regarding exports and the current account deficit
(CAD) reflected no imminent risks. The CAD to GDP ratio for the fiscal was
projected at 1.9%.
The economists also identified some priority
areas for the government: developing a world-class infrastructure, ensuring
uninterrupted power supply, resolving labor issues and minimizing procedural
hassles and fast-tracking approvals. As
the new Indian government is taking constructive measures to get back the
economy on the growth track, the economists believe that the macro-economic
fundamentals are gradually strengthening.