India's festival season, which begins in October, is unlikely to add any shine to the country's `40,000 crore con- sumer durables and electronics industry because high inflation and interest rates are expected to dampen sales growth.
“The industry will not see growth of more than 5-6% in the festive season this year, which is significantly lower than last year's growth rate of 12%,“ said Soumya Kanti Ghosh, a director at the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and In- dustry (Ficci).
Ghosh leads the industry lob- by group's economics and re- search unit, which compiles monthly data for the consumer durables sector in collaboration with the Central Statistics Office of the ministry of statistics and programme implementation.
Ghosh added the increase in equated monthly instalments (EMIs) due to recent interest rate hikes will also create pres- sure on a consumer's wallet.
The Reserve Bank of India has raised rates 12 times since March 2010, making loans costlier.
A large number of Indians prefer to buy consumer goods and home electronics on hire purchase. Dealers say some 40% of the good sold in the festive season is purchased through this route.
In the premium goods segment (in which a product costs more than `30,000, according to most dealers and retailers), sales might actually fall.
“Sales might dip by about 10% this coming Diwali for premium products as they might not sell much due to a steep rise in EMIs,“ said Nilesh Gupta, man- aging director, Vijay Sales, a Mumbai-based dealer of con- sumer products.